My thoughts on Holland 0 vs 1 Denmark and Germany 1 vs 0 Portugal

This post is the continuation of https://nijnail.wordpress.com/2012/06/09/holland-vs-denmark-germany-vs-portugal-betting-journal/

I guess I am not the only person that has lost the bet by backing Holland to win against Denmark . However in soccer nothing is predictable , that is why most betting sites do not go out of business easily.

The match between Holland and Denmark started as most people expected Holland to have more possession and create more chances against Denmark . Denmark on the other hand will try to counter and score with set pieces . The Dutch could have been in front but they were let down by their horrible finishing and are being punished for it as the Denmark drew first blood by scoring first . At that point of the time I knew if Holland horrible finishing continues I would lose my bet and Holland will lose the match . The Danes have defended well and with the aid of Holland’s horror show of finishing , they have manage to win the first match in the group of them . Many people have written the Danes off but now we got to rethink   about that . If Holland had scored first , I predict that the Dutch would win by more than a goal . If the Danes score first , they would close up and defend their 1-0 lead . Unfortunately for me it did happen , but credit to Denmark  as they deserve all 3 points .

Germany vs Portugal

This match is an open game but both side defenses are playing well and therefore there are not many chances created in the first half . I back Germany to win this game for my bet . They started well and things are looking positive but created a few chances against a Portugal defense . Portugal looks motivated for the match , their work rate matched Germany . The first half ended with a 0-0 draw with Pepe hitting the post with an effort which my heart stop for a second .Still Germany looking the better side  for the first half. The second half started with Germany bombarding the Portuguese goal but the game quiet down after 5 min . At the 73 minute just as the German’s coach is ready to put Gomez back to the bench after another lackluster performance , Gomez scores and give his coach something to think about . Right after the German scores , Portugal start pressing on and they did threaten the German goal . I got an heart attack on 87 min as I saw Portugal getting a clear shot at German . The Germans held on really well as Portugal kept on attacking , my 5 dollars could be lost anytime . But they held on and my won my bet .

Holland was disappointing . Germany nearly could have drawn too but luckily did not .

 

For the two games which most of the people would thought be high scoring games , they turn out to be a 1-0 win . Felt that many people would have lost their Total goal bet .

Holland Vs Denmark , Germany vs Portugal ( Betting journal)

https://nijnail.wordpress.com/2012/06/08/poland-vs-greece-russia-vs-czech-betting-journal/

This post is continuation of the above link .

I start with 100 dollars .

10 dollars on total goals 1 and 2 on Poland vs Greece match

5 dollars to back Russia to win against Czech

After day one of Euro 2012 . I got the Total goals on Poland vs Greece match and back Russia to win correct . https://nijnail.wordpress.com/2012/06/08/my-thoughts-on-poland-1-vs-1-greece-and-russia-2-vs-1-czech-9/

As it stand have $110.75 as I profited from the winning bets above .

I now use 5 dollars to back a Germany to win against Portugal and 5 dollars to back Holland to win against Denmark .

100.75 ===> 10 dollars at stake

Reason why I back Germany and Holland to win is simple

Denmark (Fifa rank 9) looks to be the weakest on paper in this Group B group of death , the dutch will be focusing on getting 3 points from this match as it would be easier compare trying to get a win against Germany and Portugal  . Holland (Fifa rank 4) have been Impressive in their qualifying campaign scoring 37 goals and conceding 8 compared Denmark Scoring 15 and conceding 8 . I expect to see Holland to be attacking Denmark most of the time and Denmark defending and counter later in the match .I have pick a Holland win for this as i felt is the safest .

The other match which is Germany vs Portugal , I have pick Germany to win this as I felt that Portugal is a bit overrated . Yes they have good players like Ronaldo and Nani , however I do not see Portugal playing as a team . Portugal qualifying campaign stats are not that great either , scoring 21 goals but conceding 12 . They concede the most in the qualifying campaign compare to the other countries . Germany on the other hand score 34 and concede 7 in qualifying . Based on the stat, I would expect this to be a exciting open game but however Portugal attack will not be threatening and will frequently loses the ball and lead to a Germany counter attack . Germany is also a very fit team with fast players and they can hold the ball well too .

As the two games has very high chances that many goals would be scored , playing total goal would be a very risky affair .

Although betting that Holland and Germany to win 2 goals or more looks good . But i would still go for a Holland and Germany win only . Although the winning might be measly , my strategy has been to go for the safest and the bet which I am most comfortable with . My number 1 principle in betting is that

( Protecting capital > opportunity to win more $  )

My thoughts on Poland 1 vs 1 Greece and Russia 2 vs 1 Czech

This is a follow up on https://nijnail.wordpress.com/2012/06/08/poland-vs-greece-russia-vs-czech-betting-journal/ so far

Poland Vs Greece . This match I had expected it to be a cagey affair as Poland has been winning mostly 1-0 in their friendlies and plus with the Greece Trademark defense I do not have high hopes for an exciting game . Poland play a 4231 vs Greece 433. The first half begun with the Polish attacking Greece , Poland work rate and movement of the ball was good and soon they got their goal from Robert Lewandowski in the 17th minute . The Greece defense was horrible as I guess Greece thought that Poland rank 62 would be a easy win and got nervous when Poland have a real go at them . Greece nightmare was not over as they found themselves 1 men down due to red card for two soft foul .

The second begins and Greece came out a different side , they start to have a higher work rate and keep pressure Poland . Whatever the Greece manager said to the players at half time must have work wonders . The Polish are looking complacent as they are one goal up and Greece are one men down. According to the script , Greece should be losing but they torn up the script and attempt to rewrite it . Greece score at 51min . Greece continue to attack and found themselves awarded a penalty as the current arsenal keeper Wojciech Szczęsny took away the Greece player legs . With the Penalty , Greece feels they got 3 points in the bag . However replacement keeper Przemyslaw Tyton saves it . I was nervous throughout the game as I brought Total goals 1 and 2 , the penalty save is a miracle . I have not lost my bet yet ! After the penalty save both teams seems to only want to not lose and therefore the game slows down . I of course is a happy man as if they want to keep the score 1-1 I would win my total goal bet and I did win .

Now onto the next match Russia Vs Czech .Russia play 433 and Czech plays a 4231. This match was entertaining as the both teams play an open game . From the match I can see that Russia has been the better side throughout the 90mins . Their build up plays were good and they create lots of chances , the Russian went on to score 2 goals before half time and Czech was 2-0 down . At that point of the time I felt my backing of a Russia looks good . But however I got a scare at early half time as Czech score . But it doesn’t matter as Russian went on to score 2 more goals later on .

First day of euro 2012 I finish as a happy man winning my total goals and backing Russia to win

Here are what I bet on . https://nijnail.wordpress.com/2012/06/08/poland-vs-greece-russia-vs-czech-betting-journal/

The next post will be about who I will back on Group B matches Holland vs Denmark and Germany vs Portugal .

Poland Vs Greece , Russia vs Czech ( Betting journal)

As I mention in my earlier blogs , I going to start with a 100SGD and see if I can bet through the entire tournament . Here it goes for my very first bet of Euro 2010 .

For Poland Vs Greece I choose to bet on total goals , I not confident in choosing sides to win for this .Poland is rank at 62 and Greece is rank at 15.  Greece defends is decent as they only concede 5 in their qualifying campaign  and they only score 15 . For Poland I don’t know much about them as they have been winning their their friendlies recently 4 win and 1 draw against Portugal in their last five matches with most win ending up 1-0 . With so many 1-0 win Poland tactics could be to defend and counter . For this match i choose to buy 5 dollar on total goal 1 and 5 dollars on total goal 2 as I felt that both teams attacking strength are not that strong .

For Russia vs Czech match , I have decided to back russia for the win as the data from the qualifying campaign shoes that Russia score 17 concede 4 and rank at 17 whereas Czech score 12 and concede 8 and rank at 27. I am quite sure Russia will win for this but however I have always keep in mind that nothing is certain but I always bet on the most probable.

I start with 100 dollars .

10 dollars on total goals 1 and 2 on Poland vs Greece match

5 dollars to back Russia to win against Czech

Now I have 85 dollar left and 15 dollars at risk LOL . All the best for you if you are betting too .

Euro 2012 Betting

Thank you for visiting my blog , I hope these data might help you in your betting

Fixtures http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UEFA_Euro_2012_schedule

I am not going into detail about the data . I am just going to pick those i think are important .

QC = Qualifying campaign

GROUP A

COUNTRY       FIFA RANK        (QC Scored )       (QC Concede)

Poland             62                      N/A                    N/A

Greece             15                      14                       5

Russia              13                      17                      4

Czech               27                      12                      8

GROUP B

COUNTRY       FIFA RANK        (QC Scored )       (QC Concede)

Netherlands     4                      37                        8

Denmark           9                      15                        6

Germany           3                      34                        7

Portugal            10                     21                       12

GROUP C

COUNTRY       FIFA RANK        (QC Scored )       (QC Concede)

Spain                1                         26                       6

Italy                  12                      20                      2

Rep Ireland         18                     15                       7

Croatia              8                       18                       7

GROUP D

COUNTRY       FIFA RANK        (QC Scored )       (QC Concede)

Ukraine            52                      N/A                    N/A

Sweden            17                      31                      11

France             14                      15                       4

England            6                       17                       5

Top 3 Goal scoring Team ( GOALS SCORED)

HOLLAND (37)

GERMANY (34)

SWEDEN (31)

Top 3 defense Team (GOALS CONCEDED)

ITALY (2)

RUSSIA (4)

FRANCE (4)

Data from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UEFA_Euro_2012_qualifying

The next piece of data is to aid people on gambling on Total goals . It is data derive from the World cup 2010 and Euro 2008 Results

Example :

(0 Goals)

8 matches

12.5% chances of happening

Data from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_FIFA_World_Cup

World cup 2010 Goals scored during 90 minute of the game

TOTAL GOALS AT END of 90 MIN (Total 64 match)

Number of matches end up  

(0 Goals)        (1 )           (2 )           (3 )         (4 )        (5 )      (<6 )

8                    16           13              14            7            5           1

12.5%          25%         20.3%         21.8%        10.9%   7.8%     1.5%

Data from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UEFA_Euro_2008

Euro 2008 Goals scored during 90 minute of the game

TOTAL GOALS AT END 90 MIN (Total 31 match)

Number of matches end up       

(0 Goals)        (1 )           (2 )           (3 )       (4 )        (5 )       (<6 )

2                     6           11               6            1          5          N/A

6.4%           19.3%       35.4%         19.3%     3.2%     16.1%      0%

Combine tournament  Goals scored during 90 minute of the game

 TOTAL GOALS AT END 90 MIN (Total 95 match)

Number of matches end up     

(0 Goals)        (1 )           (2 )           (3 )         (4 )      (5 )       (<6 )

10                   22           24              20          8          10         1

10.5%           23.1%       25.2%         21%     8.4%     10.5%      1.05%

Hope this helps . And good luck to all betting for euro 2012

EURO 2012

All Soccer fans have all been awaiting for the EURO 2012 to start .

Here is the Link to all fixtures http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UEFA_Euro_2012

I am very excited , are you ?

For this Euro I who have never place a bet before will set aside a 100SGD to bet just for the sake of having fun . I would like to see if my 100 dollars will increase or will it all be wipe out .

I will not  be doing online bets , I will just be betting with SG pools .

My goals is to increase my 100SGD to 120SGD by end of the Euro 2012 . Pathetic I know .

I will be sharing my predictions and what I am betting on . I will bet what I predicted !

Well I had no betting experience so follow me at your own risk !

Aside from betting  will be getting myself involve in the Euro 2012 Fantasy team too , it is a game just like fantasy premier league . Come join my league and have fun .

http://en.euro2012fantasy.uefa.com/

EURO LEAGUE 2012

CODE TO JOIN THIS LEAGUE: 357722-78528

The worries

From young I have always been afraid of the adult working world . Because from a young age I have always been like below average capable . I have been very careless (mistake after mistake) , timid and worse of all a slow learner yet got an ego . Sometimes I really do not understand why I dun learn from mistakes and still have child like behavior , this always been a huge handicap in my life . I am aware sometime ago about this and have tried to overcome it and yet I fail . Been timid and have tried to run away from it but in the end I have to face it .It is always a challenge to me to absorb what other’s instruction are. And then the time I am out working and is already facing it , life just beat me to my knees again and again . Stress build up , confidences all gone , worries for future and wonder what punishment from this harsh world will be dealt to me . Living like this is hard , there are times I really felt that death is an easier option . Been weak and bullied by bullys in the past , now i am being bully by life . It’s so unfair , SO unfair ! I felt so helpless like I am powerless to do anything about my plight . Very afraid that switching of jobs means just running away from the problem for the moment but will occur again and again with the new job . Tears swell up in my eyes when  am typing this hoping that this was not reality . I dun mean to cause trouble for anyone else , I dun feel good to make others angry but they got mad because I could not adapt . I dun like it at all , it not like I did not try but I still sucks . I have thought about why I dun love myself , I dun love myself because I want to be a normal person who could learn and understand and then applying it easily . No one understands the hell and challenge I am facing each day   , I might look normal on the outside but inside is another world and what a world it happens to be . So where do I do next …… I got no idea … I want to hang on to my current job but seems I am too dumb to do it . Hate to admit this but I think there is an stupid tag on my back . Now slouching and my head looking on the floor , I have even lose the ability to hope for a better tomorrow .

More map

Don’t ask me . this was done sooooooo Looooong ago !

The intelligent way to Vote

I don’t if making such comment will land me in any trouble but anyway , I feel I have to share this with people anyway .

So here we go

What kind of people I will not vote for 

People who

-Slip the tough question so that the public will not discover campaign build on foundation of unworkable so called solutions

-political double talk that no one could quite figure out

-pretending to be the images that polls shows people want

-pretending to have all the answer although they know they don’t

-act out of greed for money or power instead of duty

-Blaming others for all that is wrong and shamelessly seeking credit for all that is right

And I  would vote for people who are

– telling the truth

-keeping their word

– solving problems in a effective manner

– able to communicate in an understandable fashion

-does the job right

-being compassionate , kinf and loyal

-demonstrating the value of intelligences in helping others

-understanding

-being happy and sharing the happiness

One workable solutions to vote someone who is right for the job is to find out his level of his intelligences

Unless your intelligences is quite higher than his , you are likely to estimate erroneously every time. the intelligences of the politician is the deepest secret . Most politician lack the intelligences to maintain a high level of ethics but some nations let them run their government anyhow and then complains about the problems that arise later .

Just have the politicians take the world most accurate intelligence test for adult that is available today , the wesher adult intelligences test revise , properly administrate to every politicians . That is the answer.

The higher one intelligences is , the higher you will find his ethics, effectiveness , timeliness , responsibility   , helpfulness , happiness and the greater the tenacity for others to do well in his field of influences .

An above average intelligences does not guarantee high ethics , nevertheless an accurate measurment of extremely high intelligences did denote a person who will act with extraordinary high ethics , WHY ? Because it’s the intelligent thing to do !

So why shouldn’t we know the intelligences of each candidate before election day   ?

Exercise the vote you have intelligently .

Attention-Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder is a life sentence !

Please understand that why certain people behave in a certain way . They dun have a choice and they did not ask for it either . Don’t pretend to be a smart aleck and think you know everything about these people when you dun have the life sentence . SHAME on those smart aleck !

Read the content below . Are you like that ? If you are not , you know nothing !

Myths and Facts about ADD / ADHD in Adults

MYTH: ADD/ADHD is just a lack of willpower. Persons with ADD/ADHD focus well on things that interest them; they could focus on any other tasks if they really wanted to.

FACT: ADD/ADHD looks very much like a willpower problem, but it isn’t. It’s essentially a chemical problem in the management systems of the brain.

MYTH: Everybody has the symptoms of ADD/ADHD, and anyone with adequate intelligence can overcome these difficulties.

FACT: ADD/ADHD affects persons of all levels of intelligence. And although everyone sometimes has symptoms of ADD/ADHD, only those with chronic impairments from these symptoms warrant an ADD/ADHD diagnosis.

MYTH: Someone can’t have ADD/ADHD and also have depression, anxiety, or other psychiatric problems.

FACT: A person with ADD/ADHD is six times more likely to have another psychiatric or learning disorder than most other people. ADD/ADHD usually overlaps with other disorders.

MYTH: Unless you have been diagnosed with ADD/ADHD as a child, you can’t have it as an adult.

FACT: Many adults struggle all their lives with unrecognized ADD/ADHD impairments. They haven’t received help because they assumed that their chronic difficulties, like depression or anxiety, were caused by other impairments that did not respond to usual treatment.

 

ADHD symptoms: Trouble concentrating and staying focused

 

• “zoning out” without realizing it, even in the middle of a conversation.
• extreme distractibility; wandering attention makes it hard to stay on track.
• difficulty paying attention or focusing, such as when reading or listening to others.
• struggling to complete tasks, even ones that seem simple.
• tendency to overlook details, leading to errors or incomplete work.
• poor listening skills; hard time remembering conversations and following directions.

ADHD symptoms: Disorganization and forgetfulness

• poor organizational skills (home, office, desk, or car is extremely messy and cluttered)
• tendency to procrastinate
• trouble starting and finishing projects
• chronic lateness
• frequently forgetting appointments, commitments, and deadlines
• constantly losing or misplacing things (keys, wallet, phone, documents, bills)
• underestimating the time it will take you to complete tasks

ADHD symptoms: Impulsivity

• frequently interrupt others or talk over them
• have poor self-control
• blurt out thoughts that are rude or inappropriate without thinking
• have addictive tendencies
• act recklessly or spontaneously without regard for consequences
• have trouble behaving in socially appropriate ways (such as sitting still during a long meeting)

ADHD symptoms: Emotional difficulties

• sense of underachievement
• doesn’t deal well with frustration
• easily flustered and stressed out
• irritability or mood swings

• trouble staying motivated
• hypersensitivity to criticism
• short, often explosive, temper
• low self-esteem and sense of insecurity

ADHD symptoms: Hyperactivity or restlessness

 

• feelings of inner restlessness, agitation
• tendency to take risks
• getting bored easily
• racing thoughts

• trouble sitting still; constant fidgeting
• craving for excitement
• talking excessively
• doing a million things at once